Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 8.441326 9.692151 11.085426 12.756111 14.709867 16.928126 19.645685
2025-01-26 6.963683 8.615317 10.612913 13.220969 16.556815 20.707983 26.307623
2025-02-02 6.020732 7.860516 10.222695 13.506272 17.997036 23.987956 32.692735
2025-02-09 5.452893 7.439390 10.118393 14.041703 19.718323 27.753135 40.200936
2025-02-16 4.745429 6.709259 9.465813 13.679507 20.068050 29.570568 45.115063
2025-02-23 4.250547 6.203360 9.044220 13.557749 20.697618 31.811547 50.930642
2025-03-02 3.843343 5.770806 8.666368 13.430515 21.264388 33.979065 56.898316
2025-03-09 3.482968 5.365340 8.276512 13.221176 21.645442 35.855913 62.610382
2025-03-16 3.154121 4.972638 7.860177 12.909245 21.796268 37.331612 67.791301
2025-03-23 3.039882 4.910718 7.965092 13.473042 23.510885 41.743544 79.098195
2025-03-30 2.865384 4.730276 7.851454 13.637772 24.519417 44.985580 88.640145
2025-04-06 2.669330 4.493982 7.617411 13.555985 25.050567 47.376297 96.816161
2025-04-13 2.475427 4.247582 7.348301 13.390868 25.422345 49.544854 104.992168
2025-04-20 2.394640 4.194328 7.418834 13.873684 27.130458 54.655893 120.597706
2025-04-27 2.295200 4.097421 7.398380 14.173945 28.499723 59.243270 135.851154
2025-05-04 2.236916 4.070925 7.505904 14.738738 30.492995 65.471237 156.264586
2025-05-11 2.071049 3.826055 7.170935 14.356621 30.379974 66.928652 164.946578
2025-05-18 1.948879 3.655705 6.967107 14.228180 30.814813 69.716824 177.644948
2025-05-25 1.836708 3.495991 6.770538 14.093970 31.217885 72.482339 190.827625
2025-06-01 1.725302 3.329147 6.545329 13.873170 31.389383 74.698666 202.910789
2025-06-08 1.612795 3.151672 6.283682 13.544197 31.260535 76.134086 213.012589
2025-06-15 1.592552 3.162727 6.419578 14.138828 33.480835 84.026119 244.337325
2025-06-22 1.536367 3.093889 6.377846 14.312594 34.659590 89.306149 268.693734